Scaling Laws & Compute · 2018

AI and Compute

Dario Amodei, Danny Hernandez

Documented that the compute used in the largest AI training runs had grown roughly exponentially, quantifying the trend that later scaling laws and frontier models would ride.

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Plain-language summary

The analysis charts training compute across landmark systems and finds a doubling time far faster than Moore’s law over the studied period. It made the compute-growth trend legible and widely cited as evidence that scaling, not just architecture, was driving progress. It is an early empirical anchor for the scaling narrative.

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Provenance

Record ID
P-514
Record created
2026-07-13
Last reviewed
2026-07-14
Record version
2

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