Data, Corpora & Tokenization · 2024

The Curse of Recursion / Model Collapse

Ilia Shumailov, Zakhar Shumaylov, Yiren Zhao, Yarin Gal, Nicolas Papernot, Ross Anderson

It identified and analyzed model collapse, the degenerative process where training successive generations of models on their predecessors' outputs makes them progressively forget the true data distribution, especially its tails.

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The authors trained models on data produced by earlier model generations and observed that each generation's outputs narrow toward the mean, losing rare events and low-probability tails until later models converge to a degenerate distribution. They gave a theoretical account attributing this to compounding statistical approximation, functional expressivity, and sampling errors across generations. The finding warned that as AI-generated text saturates the web, indiscriminate training on it degrades future models, making access to genuine human-produced data increasingly valuable.

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Provenance

Record ID
P-126
Record created
2026-07-13
Last reviewed
2026-07-14
Record version
2

Citation caveat: Citation metadata is approximate and marked unverified in the source dataset.